Race 4B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Sarah Williams 7.5% 7.0% 7.4% 6.7% 7.9% 5.6% 5.3% 7.4% 6.1% 7.9% 7.1% 6.3% 6.5% 4.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7%
Morgan Kiss 16.2% 12.9% 13.3% 12.3% 9.0% 8.0% 7.9% 6.9% 3.4% 3.5% 2.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Holly Tullo 2.7% 3.9% 4.2% 3.8% 2.9% 5.2% 4.5% 4.4% 6.0% 5.9% 5.3% 6.5% 7.7% 8.7% 9.4% 10.5% 8.4%
Grace Lucas 6.7% 7.7% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.4% 7.4% 7.3% 6.6% 7.2% 5.5% 8.4% 5.5% 5.1% 4.4% 3.0% 1.2%
Katia DaSilva 9.0% 8.4% 9.8% 7.6% 8.9% 7.9% 5.4% 7.9% 6.6% 6.9% 5.5% 4.0% 3.0% 3.8% 2.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Amina Brown 4.6% 5.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.7% 7.1% 7.2% 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 7.4% 5.6% 6.6% 8.4% 7.0% 3.5% 3.6%
Emily Lynn 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 3.6% 5.9% 4.6% 7.7% 11.2% 19.1% 23.9%
Devon Rohde 3.7% 2.4% 4.4% 4.0% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 10.1% 10.0% 11.1%
Carolyn Smith 4.0% 5.2% 5.4% 6.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.3% 8.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 5.7% 3.4% 2.3%
Sophie Bermudez 2.9% 3.1% 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 4.4% 6.0% 4.8% 6.7% 8.0% 6.0% 6.4% 8.1% 6.9% 8.9% 9.4% 6.4%
Rachel Bryer 12.9% 10.5% 10.3% 9.1% 8.8% 8.2% 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 5.5% 4.9% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Allyson Donahue 7.3% 8.4% 6.9% 8.0% 7.6% 5.7% 7.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.3% 5.8% 6.1% 5.6% 3.7% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1%
Johanna Kincaid 5.2% 5.4% 4.5% 6.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 7.8% 8.8% 6.1% 5.1% 5.6% 4.3% 2.9%
Solvig Sayre 3.0% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.7% 6.2% 4.3% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6% 6.1% 7.1% 9.8% 8.3% 8.4% 7.3% 4.7%
Heidi Hood 1.5% 2.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 5.0% 4.8% 6.5% 6.7% 9.9% 14.5% 29.0%
Hannah Polster 7.0% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.1% 6.6% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Corina Radtke 4.0% 4.6% 5.9% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 6.7% 6.5% 5.6% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 8.3% 7.5% 6.4% 6.1% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.