Race 6B

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Morgan Kiss 18.0% 14.8% 12.0% 11.1% 9.0% 7.1% 6.9% 7.5% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Solvig Sayre 4.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.9% 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 5.6% 7.7% 7.1% 8.5% 9.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.4%
Holly Tullo 3.5% 3.2% 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.7% 6.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 9.0% 10.4% 9.9% 8.2%
Katia DaSilva 8.2% 8.7% 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.3% 5.3% 3.6% 3.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Carolyn Smith 4.9% 6.9% 7.2% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.4% 6.4% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 5.9% 4.3% 4.3% 2.7%
Sarah Williams 5.7% 5.4% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.0% 6.0% 5.7% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.8%
Emily Lynn 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 5.1% 6.3% 7.5% 10.5% 18.6% 24.4%
Devon Rohde 3.9% 2.1% 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 4.6% 3.9% 5.5% 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 9.7% 10.6% 11.0%
Corina Radtke 3.5% 3.7% 5.1% 4.2% 5.4% 6.5% 6.6% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 8.2% 5.2% 3.4%
Allyson Donahue 7.5% 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.5% 9.0% 7.1% 6.7% 7.3% 6.9% 5.8% 4.9% 4.8% 3.9% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5%
Amina Brown 5.4% 5.8% 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 6.3% 4.5% 7.1% 6.5% 7.1% 8.8% 6.5% 6.6% 4.9% 3.5%
Sophie Bermudez 3.3% 2.9% 4.4% 4.8% 3.6% 4.8% 5.6% 4.8% 4.1% 6.7% 5.8% 7.5% 7.0% 8.2% 9.4% 9.8% 7.3%
Rachel Bryer 12.1% 11.0% 9.9% 9.7% 11.1% 8.0% 8.1% 6.1% 7.2% 4.1% 3.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 7.2% 7.9% 8.3% 8.1% 7.5% 6.9% 7.8% 6.3% 6.9% 6.4% 7.9% 6.3% 4.8% 3.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Heidi Hood 1.1% 2.6% 1.3% 2.5% 1.9% 2.9% 1.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.3% 3.6% 5.3% 5.2% 7.5% 10.1% 15.5% 27.8%
Johanna Kincaid 4.3% 4.1% 5.3% 6.4% 6.9% 5.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 6.6% 5.6% 3.8% 2.5%
Grace Lucas 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.4% 6.1% 7.8% 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 5.8% 5.5% 4.9% 2.4% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.