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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.01+1.72vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.17vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.44+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.23+0.27vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.08-0.93vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.79-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of Michigan-0.0121.5%1st Place
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1.83Indiana University0.8246.6%1st Place
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3.25Grand Valley State University-0.4414.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Notre Dame-1.235.9%1st Place
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4.07Miami University-1.088.0%1st Place
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4.85Purdue University-1.794.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stephens | 21.5% | 26.3% | 24.8% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| John Hultquist | 46.6% | 32.1% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Corder | 14.0% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 5.4% |
| Charlie Lemkuil | 5.9% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 27.0% | 24.3% |
| Griffin Boothby | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 26.7% | 18.9% |
| Craig Needham | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.