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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+5.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+6.43vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+6.18vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+4.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+4.95vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+1.30vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.50+3.29vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+2.59vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.97-0.43vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-3.78vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.86-0.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.25vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.20-7.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-11.04vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.41-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.43Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.18Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.29Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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13.44Tufts University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.43College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Mary Paz | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Amina Brown | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Emily Lynn | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 26.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Camille Matile | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.