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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.01+1.83vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82-0.05vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.23+0.45vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.08-0.70vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Michigan-0.0120.8%1st Place
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1.95Indiana University0.8244.9%1st Place
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3.97Grand Valley State University-0.859.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Notre Dame-1.235.9%1st Place
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4.3Miami University-1.087.0%1st Place
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3.5Purdue University-0.4912.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stephens | 20.8% | 23.8% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| John Hultquist | 44.9% | 30.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 9.0% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| Charlie Lemkuil | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 36.8% |
| Griffin Boothby | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 25.4% | 27.9% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.4% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.