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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+8.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+9.30vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+6.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+4.25vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+4.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20+0.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01+0.12vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.46-2.47vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.93vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.13vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.63vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-2.71vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.50-3.77vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.86-2.15vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-5.17vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.21-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.3Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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4.96Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.37Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.29Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.23Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.85Tufts University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mary Paz | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Emily Lynn | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 28.7% |
| Camille Matile | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.