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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.27vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+7.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+4.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+2.13vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.50+3.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.70vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60+0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-1.70vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.46-4.50vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.86+0.41vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.47vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-4.22vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.58vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-5.26vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.44-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.27Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.01Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.99College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.5Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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13.41Tufts University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.78Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.5% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Amina Brown | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Katia DaSilva | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Lynn | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 26.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Camille Matile | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.