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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+9.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+9.42vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.60+7.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+4.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.86+6.57vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96+0.21vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.58vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41+0.57vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.44-0.21vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.46-5.87vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-3.45vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-6.91vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-7.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.42Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.96College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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13.57Tufts University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.79Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.82Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lynn | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 26.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Camille Matile | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Mary Paz | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.