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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.08vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+7.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+4.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97+5.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.50+4.18vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.86+5.49vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+1.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44+1.67vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-3.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-5.80vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.60-5.16vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.41-5.35vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.07Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.18Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.49Tufts University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.67Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.84College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Katia DaSilva | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Emily Lynn | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 28.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Camille Matile | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.