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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.01+0.81vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.49+0.49vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.01vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.08-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.23-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Indiana University0.8245.4%1st Place
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2.81University of Michigan-0.0120.8%1st Place
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3.49Purdue University-0.4912.8%1st Place
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4.01Grand Valley State University-0.858.5%1st Place
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4.24Miami University-1.087.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame-1.235.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hultquist | 45.4% | 28.7% | 16.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Stephens | 20.8% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 11.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| Griffin Boothby | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 23.8% | 27.7% |
| Charlie Lemkuil | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 25.4% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.