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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+1.10vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.05+2.23vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-0.15vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-2.11+0.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.34-0.35vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.58-0.95vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.34-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Columbia University-0.1341.6%1st Place
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4.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.6013.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Delaware-2.056.2%1st Place
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3.85SUNY Stony Brook-1.3012.7%1st Place
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5.22Syracuse University-2.116.3%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Military Academy-2.345.1%1st Place
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6.05Monmouth University-2.583.8%1st Place
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3.89Rutgers University-1.3411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 41.6% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 15.7% |
| Sophia Dimont | 12.7% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| Gus Hankinson | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 25.4% |
| Julia Marich | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 33.8% |
| Andrew Martin | 11.4% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.