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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.72+0.60vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.33+2.92vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.07+1.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.07-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.49-0.82vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.93-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.10-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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4.92Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College0.070.1%1st Place
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2.1Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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5.18University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.69Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.17University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Pesch | 55.7% | 31.8% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keaton Burns | 2.2% | 4.7% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 22.0% | 22.9% | 17.6% |
| Scott Zolkos | 5.3% | 7.1% | 17.6% | 23.4% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 8.6% |
| Matthew Russell | 29.1% | 41.7% | 21.3% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Trumper | 1.8% | 3.6% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 22.8% | 25.5% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.3% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 42.5% |
| Whit Durant | 4.6% | 9.1% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.