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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.33vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.97+5.10vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.58+5.71vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+4.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.50+4.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.38vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-0.08vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-2.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.86+0.44vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-2.86vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-4.27vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.46-8.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.15vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.41-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.24Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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11.13Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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13.44Tufts University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.14Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.73College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Amina Brown | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Emily Lynn | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 26.6% |
| Mary Paz | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Camille Matile | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.