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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.33vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.90+3.49vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.96+1.85vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+0.45vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.58-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-1.47vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.95-1.94vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.68-5.79vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.66-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.16vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Bowdoin College2.0710.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.9%1st Place
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5.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0313.5%1st Place
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8.09Brown University1.336.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Pennsylvania1.7710.3%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University0.903.9%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston0.964.9%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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6.82Boston College1.588.4%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida1.094.4%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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6.21Cornell University1.6810.4%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University0.664.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University0.833.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 16.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 24.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.