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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.72+6.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+2.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.51+1.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-2.61vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-1.36vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08-0.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-5.69vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.51-3.46vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.59-1.71vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.74vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.05-0.16vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University0.12-1.20vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.34-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.96Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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4.39Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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6.64Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.8Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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13.84McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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13.8Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ansel Duff | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Christina Frost | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 20.3% | 27.3% | 26.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 29.8% | 25.1% |
| Liam Greene | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 12.7% | 26.0% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.