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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+3.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67+2.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+4.54vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51+3.67vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08+3.84vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.72+4.02vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59+0.37vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-2.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-5.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.87-4.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-3.74vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.59-2.71vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.05-0.17vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.34-0.48vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University0.12-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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4.17Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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8.84Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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4.36Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.83McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
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13.8Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 17.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 19.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Martz | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 14.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansel Duff | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 19.9% | 28.4% | 25.6% |
| Liam Greene | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 25.1% | 46.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 21.1% | 28.2% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.