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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+3.82vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+4.92vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.07+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66+3.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+0.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68-2.85vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston0.96-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.09-2.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-3.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.23vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-4.42vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.90-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.2%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0313.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston College1.588.0%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University0.955.1%1st Place
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6.49Bowdoin College2.0710.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Pennsylvania1.7711.0%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University0.663.1%1st Place
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8.25Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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6.15Cornell University1.6810.2%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston0.964.2%1st Place
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8.54University of South Florida1.095.2%1st Place
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8.15Brown University1.335.6%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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9.58Salve Regina University0.833.4%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University0.904.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 22.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.