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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+3.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.07vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.09+3.48vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.01vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+2.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.68-1.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.66+1.24vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston0.96-1.04vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-3.47vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.90-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0313.2%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.6%1st Place
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6.64Boston College1.588.5%1st Place
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8.07Brown University1.335.7%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida1.094.6%1st Place
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6.01University of Pennsylvania1.7710.9%1st Place
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9.16Old Dominion University0.954.2%1st Place
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6.05Cornell University1.6810.2%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University0.662.7%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston0.965.5%1st Place
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8.4Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.0710.5%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University0.833.3%1st Place
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9.5Fordham University0.904.2%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.