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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.51+4.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+2.50vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.72+4.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51+1.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+1.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.61-3.77vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59-1.75vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-3.14vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-2.15vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.59-1.75vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University0.12+0.76vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.05-0.18vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.34-0.47vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.52University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.96Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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4.23Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.25Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.85Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.76Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.82McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Connecticut-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 18.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 18.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Scott Booth | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ansel Duff | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 20.7% | 27.3% | 24.7% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 27.1% | 26.0% |
| Liam Greene | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 12.5% | 26.2% | 45.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.