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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+7.44vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+6.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+3.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.97vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+3.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+3.68vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.96+1.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.90+0.63vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-1.95vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-4.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.50vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.68-6.79vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.95-5.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44University of South Florida1.095.2%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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6.44Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.6%1st Place
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5.97University of Pennsylvania1.7710.8%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University0.833.7%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont0.483.4%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston0.964.3%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University0.903.6%1st Place
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8.05Brown University1.335.5%1st Place
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6.77Boston College1.588.8%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.8%1st Place
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6.21Cornell University1.6810.5%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University0.954.6%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University0.663.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 23.8% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.