Race 4A

central-series-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Ben Weigel 16.6% 17.9% 15.1% 12.7% 9.5% 8.4% 7.4% 4.7% 3.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly McGlynn 8.0% 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 8.5% 8.5% 7.9% 9.9% 8.0% 8.2% 6.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Duncan Swain 17.2% 15.2% 14.4% 12.3% 12.1% 10.0% 7.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Lalumiere 16.3% 14.5% 13.1% 13.7% 11.1% 9.6% 7.4% 6.7% 3.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Gallagher 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 5.8% 8.4% 9.1% 9.7% 12.1% 13.4% 12.8% 4.2% 1.0%
Shannon Killian 3.0% 2.5% 4.7% 4.7% 6.3% 6.5% 8.8% 7.4% 6.3% 9.2% 9.3% 11.9% 10.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.2%
Scott Booth 6.0% 5.3% 6.4% 5.9% 7.6% 8.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.8% 8.4% 8.9% 9.8% 5.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Jacob Martz 5.7% 7.2% 6.9% 8.7% 7.4% 7.0% 9.1% 10.2% 7.9% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Henry O'Brien 5.6% 6.6% 5.8% 6.5% 7.7% 8.8% 8.4% 7.3% 10.6% 8.4% 7.4% 8.2% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Christina Frost 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 3.3% 5.7% 6.9% 6.6% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 10.8% 9.3% 7.6% 4.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.9% 7.6% 7.3% 8.4% 6.8% 7.6% 9.8% 10.1% 8.4% 7.8% 8.1% 5.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.4% 3.4% 10.2% 18.1% 29.8% 23.9%
Ansel Duff 2.0% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 4.4% 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 6.2% 7.5% 11.4% 11.9% 15.7% 11.9% 6.3% 1.5%
Holly McGarr 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.7% 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 5.2% 9.6% 19.3% 27.8% 25.9%
Liam Greene 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 5.3% 13.5% 23.9% 46.9%
Dylan Finneran 4.1% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.8% 7.7% 7.6% 11.2% 9.9% 10.0% 8.3% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.