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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.38vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+3.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.14vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston0.96+4.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+2.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66+3.36vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77-2.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+0.51vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-1.58vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-4.32vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.19vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.90-4.40vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.95-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0313.9%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.0%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University1.689.9%1st Place
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8.14Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston0.964.1%1st Place
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8.31Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University0.662.6%1st Place
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5.95University of Pennsylvania1.7710.7%1st Place
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9.51Salve Regina University0.833.8%1st Place
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8.42University of South Florida1.095.2%1st Place
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6.68Boston College1.589.0%1st Place
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6.49Bowdoin College2.0710.4%1st Place
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10.81University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University0.903.7%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 17.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 23.4% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.