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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.87+4.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+1.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+3.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+1.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51+0.65vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-3.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut0.24+2.55vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-3.14vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.72-3.01vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12-0.14vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-4.37vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.05-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.3Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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7.46Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.14Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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8.86Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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13.86Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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14.11McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 17.8% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 4.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 18.1% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 27.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 17.0% | 26.2% | 31.1% |
| William Bloxham | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 16.5% | 24.9% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.