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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+7.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67+2.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+4.26vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.72+6.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+1.43vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61-1.54vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.51-0.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-4.72vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.77vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-4.23vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.51-4.43vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.55-2.51vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12-0.15vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.05-0.93vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.24-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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4.16Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.16Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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8.95Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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13.85Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.07McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Frost | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ben Weigel | 18.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 15.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bloxham | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 26.8% | 30.3% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 37.3% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 17.3% | 26.4% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.