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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.96+7.96vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.18vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.07+3.46vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.95+5.12vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+3.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66+4.30vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-1.68vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.58-4.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.68-5.77vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.33-4.95vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.90-4.31vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96College of Charleston0.964.8%1st Place
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6.18University of Pennsylvania1.779.2%1st Place
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6.46Bowdoin College2.079.8%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University0.953.9%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University1.186.8%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University0.662.5%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University0.834.5%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.2%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.7%1st Place
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8.32University of South Florida1.096.5%1st Place
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6.69Boston College1.588.8%1st Place
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6.23Cornell University1.689.8%1st Place
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8.05Brown University1.335.5%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University0.903.8%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 17.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.