← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+3.00vs Predicted
-
2Columbia University-0.13+0.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware-2.05+2.26vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-2.11+1.23vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-2.58+0.97vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-2.08vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.34-3.13vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-2.34-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.6011.9%1st Place
-
2.09Columbia University-0.1342.4%1st Place
-
5.26University of Delaware-2.056.4%1st Place
-
5.23Syracuse University-2.116.1%1st Place
-
5.97Monmouth University-2.583.6%1st Place
-
3.92SUNY Stony Brook-1.3012.0%1st Place
-
3.87Rutgers University-1.3413.4%1st Place
-
5.66U. S. Military Academy-2.344.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Chase O'Malley | 42.4% | 27.5% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| Julia Marich | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 32.9% |
| Sophia Dimont | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 13.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Gus Hankinson | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.