Race 1A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
David Alfonso 8.5% 11.4% 9.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.0% 9.3% 7.7% 8.2% 4.9% 3.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.7%
Solomon Tarlin 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 3.3% 3.3% 5.7% 5.3% 5.3% 6.5% 8.7% 11.2% 17.2% 16.8% 8.2%
Samuel Ingham 31.4% 21.8% 17.6% 10.5% 8.3% 4.8% 3.2% 0.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Santangelo 5.4% 6.1% 7.4% 7.9% 8.1% 7.9% 9.5% 8.9% 9.5% 8.8% 9.9% 5.5% 4.0% 1.1%
Jeff Goodrich 4.9% 5.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.3% 8.2% 7.6% 9.1% 10.5% 9.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.0% 1.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 8.5% 8.1% 10.7% 10.1% 8.6% 11.9% 9.6% 9.0% 6.7% 6.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Kyle Carney 9.6% 10.5% 9.0% 11.3% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 9.6% 6.7% 5.3% 4.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
William Hutchings 8.8% 10.3% 9.4% 10.1% 8.9% 10.0% 7.8% 11.4% 6.2% 6.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Juan Forrer 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 1.8% 3.2% 4.2% 6.6% 8.0% 13.6% 29.7% 22.1%
Quentin Chafee 6.3% 6.8% 6.2% 8.5% 10.6% 8.9% 9.5% 8.9% 9.2% 7.7% 8.6% 5.8% 2.7% 0.3%
John Vrolyk 3.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.4% 6.8% 6.6% 7.9% 7.6% 9.2% 12.9% 9.3% 9.9% 8.6% 2.9%
George Saunders 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 8.6% 10.2% 8.3% 9.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.1% 8.4% 6.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Tommy Holmberg 3.7% 3.7% 4.6% 4.0% 5.4% 5.5% 6.3% 8.2% 10.3% 10.4% 11.0% 13.4% 9.0% 4.5%
John Fonte 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 2.7% 3.7% 4.6% 7.8% 16.4% 57.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.