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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.07+5.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.90+7.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+3.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+3.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.95+3.18vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+3.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.66+2.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-3.22vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.33-2.96vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.09-3.40vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston0.96-4.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.77-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Bowdoin College2.078.9%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University0.904.0%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University1.6811.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.8%1st Place
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8.26Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont0.483.1%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University0.663.3%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0313.2%1st Place
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6.78Boston College1.588.6%1st Place
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8.04Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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8.6University of South Florida1.095.0%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston0.964.2%1st Place
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9.43Salve Regina University0.834.6%1st Place
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6.03University of Pennsylvania1.7710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 22.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.