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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+3.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.72+7.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.51+3.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+2.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61-1.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87-0.50vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.67-3.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.72vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-1.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.83vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.05+1.99vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.55-2.54vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12-0.19vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.24-1.26vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.51-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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9.93Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.38Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.1%1st Place
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13.99McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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10.46Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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13.81Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Weigel | 19.4% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 25.3% | 34.9% |
| William Bloxham | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 30.3% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 17.4% | 26.5% | 28.6% |
| Scott Booth | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.