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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.72+8.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.51+5.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+1.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+2.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-0.82vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+0.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59+0.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.61-3.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.77vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-0.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.51-4.43vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.24+0.66vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.05+0.02vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-5.99vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University0.12-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University3.650.2%1st Place
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6.53Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.91Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.24Dartmouth College3.610.2%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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10.41Harvard University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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13.66University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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14.02McGill University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.99Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 17.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 16.7% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 17.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Bloxham | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Scott Booth | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 26.3% | 27.7% |
| Holly McGarr | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 25.2% | 35.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 15.9% | 27.9% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.