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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+4.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+4.87vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.61+3.02vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.37+2.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38-1.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97+4.88vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.34+5.32vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.03-3.27vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-2.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.41-0.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-4.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-5.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11-2.58vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.05vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.21-1.40vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.04-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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3.97Dartmouth College3.380.2%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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12.32McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.73Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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13.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.13Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 17.9% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
| James Barry | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Petno | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| David Tampellini | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 35.6% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 28.5% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.