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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+5.50vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+2.39vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+4.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.58+0.82vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.96+2.00vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33-0.08vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+0.55vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68-3.97vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-2.81vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.90-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.77-6.93vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.14vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.66-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.4%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6310.0%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida1.095.0%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College2.079.1%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University0.954.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston College1.589.3%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston0.964.2%1st Place
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7.92Brown University1.336.3%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University0.833.2%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University1.6810.8%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University1.186.1%1st Place
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9.36Fordham University0.903.7%1st Place
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6.07University of Pennsylvania1.7710.0%1st Place
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10.86University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University0.662.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 24.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.