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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+4.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.28+4.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.37+3.70vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+2.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03-0.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.11+3.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.55-1.92vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.41+0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.92vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.34+1.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.23vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.21+0.56vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.06vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.04-1.90vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.89Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.98Dartmouth College3.380.2%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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6.08Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.35McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.94Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.1Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 19.2% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 11.9% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 26.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 35.5% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 19.2% |
| Emily Petno | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.