Race 12A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Shakespeare 6.3% 5.7% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 9.2% 9.1% 7.2% 9.4% 7.8% 6.6%
Emily Bornarth 12.7% 13.5% 12.8% 11.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 5.3% 3.4% 3.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 8.2% 6.7% 8.1% 7.3% 9.3% 9.1% 8.5% 7.0% 6.9% 5.3%
Audrey Commerford 3.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.9% 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 6.3% 8.1% 7.4% 10.8% 13.9% 23.1%
Lucy Brock 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 8.1% 7.8% 6.5% 5.7% 4.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Kiera Oreardon 4.8% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 5.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.8% 7.4% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.0% 8.8%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.3% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 7.7% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 6.9% 4.2%
Elizabeth Kaplan 8.9% 10.4% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Sofia Segalla 12.3% 9.8% 11.4% 10.5% 10.4% 9.2% 8.5% 7.6% 5.1% 6.0% 4.1% 2.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 11.1% 11.1%
J.J. Smith 11.4% 11.9% 10.0% 9.4% 10.2% 9.8% 7.6% 8.7% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Payton Canavan 4.0% 4.8% 4.3% 3.9% 4.3% 6.2% 6.4% 6.9% 7.7% 7.7% 10.0% 10.1% 11.2% 12.7%
Meredith Broadus 3.8% 3.4% 3.1% 5.1% 3.9% 3.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% 10.8% 11.1% 13.2% 17.2%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.8% 6.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.5% 9.4% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.