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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+5.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+3.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+1.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+2.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.37+1.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.55+0.27vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.34+5.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38-4.17vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.41+0.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.98vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.11-0.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.21+0.57vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.05vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.04-1.89vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.82Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.4McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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3.83Dartmouth College3.380.2%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.11Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 14.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Conor Fowler | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 11.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 20.6% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Brodheim | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 23.2% | 26.5% |
| David Tampellini | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 35.7% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 20.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.