Race 5B

central-series-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jonathan Pope 6.8% 9.9% 8.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 7.6% 5.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Polster 18.7% 16.2% 15.2% 11.8% 10.0% 8.6% 7.4% 6.4% 2.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Barry 12.0% 11.8% 11.3% 12.3% 11.7% 10.9% 9.4% 8.0% 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Petno 6.4% 6.9% 8.2% 5.9% 10.1% 7.7% 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 9.5% 7.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 7.9% 6.4% 10.6% 9.9% 8.9% 10.3% 11.6% 8.4% 5.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Hayden Maguire 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.9% 5.8% 9.7% 12.9% 17.2% 21.8% 18.4%
Anthony Lowther 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 3.0% 2.7% 3.6% 4.2% 7.5% 9.2% 14.9% 19.2% 17.9% 11.3%
James Moody 11.3% 10.6% 11.6% 12.1% 9.7% 10.9% 8.7% 7.5% 7.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 8.0% 8.5% 8.3% 8.0% 11.0% 10.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.7% 7.2% 5.7% 2.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Brodheim 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 11.2% 12.9% 14.7% 12.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Robert Floyd 18.5% 15.0% 14.5% 11.6% 10.5% 9.4% 7.1% 5.7% 3.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Dwyer 6.1% 6.6% 6.1% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 7.9% 9.9% 10.6% 8.2% 8.7% 4.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Frederick Finkenauer 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 5.4% 4.3% 7.4% 10.4% 11.0% 14.8% 14.4% 11.1% 5.4% 2.2%
Matthew Orgill 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.9% 11.8% 14.6% 15.7% 11.7% 6.8% 2.3%
Meredith Kresic 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 4.3% 8.1% 10.9% 16.5% 21.7% 28.6%
David Tampellini 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 3.6% 6.1% 9.1% 13.5% 22.6% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.