Race 13A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sofia Segalla 13.2% 10.7% 12.8% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 8.4% 7.5% 5.5% 4.4% 4.0% 2.2% 1.3% 0.9%
Charlotte Costikyan 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 6.8% 3.9%
Elizabeth Kaplan 10.8% 9.8% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.7% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9%
Lucy Brock 10.6% 10.2% 10.2% 10.3% 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 7.1% 5.0% 4.9% 3.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Kiera Oreardon 5.1% 4.6% 5.4% 6.3% 6.6% 5.9% 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 8.3%
Emma Shakespeare 5.9% 7.0% 6.5% 5.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.7% 9.0% 7.8% 8.3% 7.3% 6.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 6.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.8% 7.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.8% 7.5% 5.9% 4.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.5% 5.5% 3.9% 5.0% 4.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 10.4% 10.6% 11.8% 11.6%
J.J. Smith 10.0% 10.3% 11.3% 10.1% 8.9% 9.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.4% 5.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.0%
Audrey Commerford 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.7% 3.1% 4.9% 4.5% 4.7% 6.8% 8.9% 10.9% 14.2% 25.1%
Meredith Broadus 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 5.5% 4.1% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 6.7% 7.6% 9.1% 10.0% 12.4% 17.1%
Emily Bornarth 13.6% 14.0% 12.4% 10.3% 10.9% 8.1% 8.0% 6.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
Payton Canavan 4.8% 4.2% 3.4% 5.0% 4.8% 6.4% 5.2% 6.5% 7.1% 9.0% 8.6% 10.8% 12.9% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.