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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+6.04vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+2.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+2.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+2.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03+0.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.69vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.37-1.18vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.34+3.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.41-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.11-0.53vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-7.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.97-2.10vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.04-0.98vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.43-0.94vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.21-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.16Dartmouth College3.380.2%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.06Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College2.370.1%1st Place
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12.38McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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9.75Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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4.08Boston University3.420.2%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.970.0%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University0.040.0%1st Place
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14.06Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 18.0% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Dwyer | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 10.2% |
| Adam Brodheim | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Orgill | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| Hayden Maguire | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| David Tampellini | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 39.0% |
| Meredith Kresic | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.