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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+5.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.78+5.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+2.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+1.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.54+5.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68+2.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-1.68vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-2.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.31-0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13-0.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.99vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-5.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.18-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Brown University1.558.2%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College0.786.6%1st Place
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5.42Cornell University1.8812.2%1st Place
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5.1College of Charleston1.8114.6%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University0.543.0%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University0.684.7%1st Place
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6.81Boston College1.368.3%1st Place
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6.38University of Pennsylvania1.4510.2%1st Place
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7.32University of South Florida1.446.3%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.1%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University0.313.2%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont-0.132.5%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.607.4%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University0.935.0%1st Place
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10.9Salve Regina University0.182.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| Megan Geith | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 25.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.