Race 8A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Oscar Gilroy 4.4% 5.7% 9.4% 13.9% 14.9% 13.9% 14.2% 12.7% 8.5% 2.5%
Michael Burns 32.8% 30.1% 19.6% 10.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 4.5% 7.5% 11.7% 13.3% 17.1% 14.0% 12.7% 10.0% 6.9% 2.5%
Logan Mraz 41.3% 30.6% 17.0% 7.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Tonzola 2.2% 4.1% 7.2% 10.0% 9.6% 12.6% 14.1% 15.6% 16.6% 8.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 4.7% 7.6% 11.4% 14.4% 14.9% 14.9% 14.6% 10.1% 5.9% 1.5%
Benjamin Koly 4.0% 3.9% 7.1% 9.1% 11.7% 14.3% 13.7% 15.8% 13.9% 6.5%
Andrew Martin 2.0% 3.5% 5.8% 6.5% 8.8% 10.2% 11.5% 14.5% 23.8% 13.2%
Griffin Jones 3.7% 5.8% 8.7% 12.5% 12.8% 13.7% 12.7% 13.8% 10.9% 5.5%
Julia Marich 0.4% 1.0% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% 5.7% 7.5% 13.7% 60.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.