← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.76+3.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Victoria2.65+0.77vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University2.20+0.49vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University2.21-0.52vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria1.79-0.79vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.34-0.47vs Predicted
-
9University of Puget Sound0.55-2.71vs Predicted
-
11University of Puget Sound1.26-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.19University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
-
2.77University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
-
3.49Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
-
3.48Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
-
4.21University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.53University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
-
6.29University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
-
5.04University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 3.2% |
| Neil Hawkes | 28.1% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Casey Pruitt | 18.8% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.5% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Robert Berry | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
| Aaron Scull | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 44.2% |
| John Elam | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 25.6% | 35.3% |
| Mike Knape | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.