Race 2A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 31.4% 22.8% 14.2% 12.4% 8.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
David Alfonso 9.1% 11.7% 10.2% 9.4% 10.5% 9.4% 10.6% 9.2% 7.4% 5.1% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Colin Santangelo 6.2% 6.9% 8.0% 6.6% 6.9% 8.3% 8.9% 9.8% 9.4% 9.3% 8.5% 7.1% 3.8% 0.3%
George Saunders 4.4% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 10.8% 8.9% 9.0% 8.2% 4.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Solomon Tarlin 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 9.5% 9.5% 15.6% 18.6% 11.6%
Quentin Chafee 7.3% 5.8% 6.8% 7.5% 10.5% 9.5% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 9.8% 6.0% 7.6% 2.7% 0.5%
John Vrolyk 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 8.0% 11.2% 8.6% 11.7% 9.2% 6.9% 1.9%
William Hutchings 9.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.2% 9.6% 8.5% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 5.7% 4.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Kyle Carney 8.1% 8.1% 8.5% 11.8% 9.6% 11.7% 7.8% 9.2% 8.4% 6.2% 5.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Tommy Holmberg 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 5.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.1% 7.9% 8.1% 11.0% 11.4% 14.6% 9.2% 4.8%
John Fonte 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 5.1% 6.8% 17.6% 58.7%
Juan Forrer 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 5.5% 10.5% 14.6% 27.8% 20.3%
Nikolas Osvalds 8.8% 9.0% 10.9% 10.1% 11.4% 10.3% 9.1% 6.5% 8.2% 7.3% 4.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Jeff Goodrich 5.1% 5.8% 7.4% 6.5% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 9.1% 8.5% 9.7% 10.0% 6.7% 4.5% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.