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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+1.10vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.34+1.96vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.05+1.25vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-1.15vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.11-0.79vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-2.58-1.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.34-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Columbia University-0.1342.2%1st Place
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3.96Rutgers University-1.3411.6%1st Place
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4.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.6013.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Delaware-2.055.6%1st Place
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3.85SUNY Stony Brook-1.3012.6%1st Place
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5.21Syracuse University-2.116.2%1st Place
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5.98Monmouth University-2.584.3%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Military Academy-2.344.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 42.2% | 28.1% | 15.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Brendan van Riper | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 15.9% |
| Sophia Dimont | 12.6% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| Julia Marich | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 33.1% |
| Gus Hankinson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.