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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.81vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.36+4.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+5.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+0.99vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+0.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68+2.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.78-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.44-2.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.55-4.57vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.18-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-1.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.31-3.66vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.54-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.086.4%1st Place
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6.91Boston College1.368.3%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University0.935.1%1st Place
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4.99College of Charleston1.8114.8%1st Place
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5.29Cornell University1.8812.9%1st Place
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8.88Old Dominion University0.684.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.608.1%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College0.786.3%1st Place
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6.48University of Pennsylvania1.458.3%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.447.3%1st Place
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6.43Brown University1.558.8%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University0.182.2%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont-0.131.9%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University0.312.5%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University0.542.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Scherer | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
Sara Schumann | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
Haley Andreasen | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
Emma Tallman | 14.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Meredith Moran | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Megan Geith | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
Emma Snead | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Teagan Cunningham | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
Madeleine Rice | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Sydney Monahan | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
Emily Mueller | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Molly Hanrahan | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 22.9% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 23.5% |
Adeline Schoen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% |
Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.