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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+4.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+3.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+1.14vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.88+0.41vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.31+4.21vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+3.44vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+1.03vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.78-1.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.45-4.46vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.18-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-5.79vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-5.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.607.8%1st Place
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6.38Brown University1.559.6%1st Place
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6.83Boston College1.368.0%1st Place
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5.14College of Charleston1.8113.5%1st Place
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5.41Cornell University1.8812.3%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University0.313.1%1st Place
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10.44Fordham University0.541.8%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University0.684.8%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College0.786.6%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.087.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Pennsylvania1.457.9%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University0.182.2%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida1.446.7%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University0.935.9%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont-0.132.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.4% |
| Megan Geith | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 23.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.