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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+6.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.88+1.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+1.39vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81-0.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36-0.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.62vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.18+1.04vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.78-3.41vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.44-5.84vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-2.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.31-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.8%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University0.935.3%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.607.5%1st Place
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5.59Cornell University1.8813.2%1st Place
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6.39Brown University1.559.1%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston1.8113.6%1st Place
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6.71Boston College1.368.8%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University0.685.2%1st Place
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6.38University of Pennsylvania1.459.3%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University0.181.9%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College0.786.0%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University0.542.8%1st Place
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7.16University of South Florida1.447.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University0.312.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Scherer | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Emma Snead | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 13.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Megan Geith | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 24.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 22.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.