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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.36+5.95vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.88+3.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+3.21vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+3.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+2.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.78+1.58vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72-1.73vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.31+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.44-3.71vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-2.95vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.18-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-2.79vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.54-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Boston College1.367.4%1st Place
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5.4Cornell University1.8811.8%1st Place
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6.21Brown University1.5510.1%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.086.8%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.9%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College0.786.2%1st Place
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5.12College of Charleston1.8113.8%1st Place
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6.27University of Pennsylvania1.7210.4%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University0.313.6%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University0.934.9%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida1.446.8%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University0.684.0%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University0.182.5%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont-0.132.4%1st Place
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10.45Fordham University0.542.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Emma Snead | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Megan Geith | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 23.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 24.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.