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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+5.96vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.44+4.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+2.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+1.38vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.78+1.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36-0.14vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.18+3.04vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-3.82vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68-0.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-2.70vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.31-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-2.03vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.54-3.66vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.88-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.607.7%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.7%1st Place
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7.32University of South Florida1.446.5%1st Place
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6.16University of Pennsylvania1.7210.4%1st Place
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6.38Brown University1.559.0%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College0.786.3%1st Place
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6.86Boston College1.368.8%1st Place
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11.04Salve Regina University0.182.5%1st Place
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5.18College of Charleston1.8112.9%1st Place
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9.02Old Dominion University0.683.9%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University0.935.3%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University0.313.5%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont-0.132.6%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University0.543.1%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University1.8811.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 23.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 12.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 22.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.