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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+6.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+10.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+8.23vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.31vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+2.10vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+0.90vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.13+4.39vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.74+4.50vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.73vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.91-3.05vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-5.81vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64+0.47vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-8.35vs Predicted
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15Queen's University1.49-1.43vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.51-6.52vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.40+0.02vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-2.56vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.21-1.55vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.63-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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7.31SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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7.1Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.39Old Dominion University2.130.0%1st Place
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12.5Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.69Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.47Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.65George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.57Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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17.02Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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15.44University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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17.45Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.14SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Watterson | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nick Valente | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fields | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Colin Keil | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph David | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Greg Martinez | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 22.1% | 31.2% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 12.9% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 41.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.