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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+4.32vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+2.37vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.54+6.43vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.36+0.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+2.10vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68-0.99vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.31-0.63vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.44-4.67vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.78-5.29vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-2.93vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.608.2%1st Place
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6.32Brown University1.558.9%1st Place
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5.37Cornell University1.8813.5%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University0.542.6%1st Place
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6.16University of Pennsylvania1.728.5%1st Place
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6.85Boston College1.368.3%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.086.5%1st Place
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5.22College of Charleston1.8112.6%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University0.684.5%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University0.312.6%1st Place
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7.33University of South Florida1.448.0%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College0.786.0%1st Place
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11.07Salve Regina University0.182.5%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University0.935.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emma Snead | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
Emily Mueller | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Meredith Moran | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
Torrey Chisari | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Sara Schumann | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
Emily Scherer | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
Emma Tallman | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 23.8% |
Megan Geith | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
Adeline Schoen | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% |
Sydney Monahan | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Teagan Cunningham | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
Molly Hanrahan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 22.7% |
Haley Andreasen | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.