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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.36+5.92vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+5.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+3.32vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.68+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.26vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-1.73vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.31+2.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.73vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.18+0.84vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.88-5.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.78-4.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-2.90vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.54-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Boston College1.368.3%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.8%1st Place
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6.32Brown University1.559.4%1st Place
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9.03Old Dominion University0.684.2%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida1.447.6%1st Place
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6.26University of Pennsylvania1.729.7%1st Place
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5.27College of Charleston1.8113.4%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University0.313.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.8%1st Place
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10.84Salve Regina University0.182.3%1st Place
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5.37Cornell University1.8811.7%1st Place
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7.54Bowdoin College0.787.2%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University0.935.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont-0.132.1%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University0.543.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Megan Geith | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 16.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 20.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 24.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.