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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.18+9.73vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.72+4.07vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+3.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+0.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+2.08vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.76+1.96vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68+0.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.55-2.77vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13+1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.91vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-1.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-5.07vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.31-3.78vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.88-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73Salve Regina University0.183.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Pennsylvania1.729.2%1st Place
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6.67Boston College1.368.8%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.447.3%1st Place
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5.2College of Charleston1.8113.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University0.936.6%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College0.764.5%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University0.684.2%1st Place
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6.23Brown University1.559.8%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont-0.132.0%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.608.5%1st Place
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10.22Fordham University0.543.1%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.5%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University0.312.9%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University1.8811.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Hanrahan | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 21.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Megan Geith | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 22.5% |
| Emma Snead | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.