Race 10B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Mueller 11.3% 10.8% 11.0% 9.7% 10.0% 9.2% 8.3% 7.6% 6.6% 5.4% 5.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7%
Torrey Chisari 12.2% 11.8% 11.6% 10.7% 9.9% 10.1% 9.2% 5.8% 5.9% 5.1% 3.5% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Megan Geith 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 7.1% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 8.9% 6.2%
Emma Tallman 16.3% 14.3% 12.7% 11.2% 9.6% 9.5% 7.7% 6.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Adeline Schoen 3.2% 4.2% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 7.7% 9.4% 10.3% 14.5% 14.6%
Haley Andreasen 6.3% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 7.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.1% 6.1% 4.0%
Emma Snead 8.8% 10.1% 9.5% 9.0% 8.7% 8.1% 8.8% 8.2% 7.1% 7.0% 5.4% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2%
Emily Scherer 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 8.1% 7.2% 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 5.9% 5.2% 2.9%
Sydney Monahan 8.8% 8.5% 8.8% 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 8.2% 8.9% 8.1% 8.0% 6.0% 5.0% 3.8% 1.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.2% 2.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 11.4% 14.1% 22.3%
Lucija Ruzevic 6.5% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 7.7% 7.8% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 6.9% 5.0% 2.5%
Christine Reimer 4.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.7% 7.0% 9.2% 7.9% 8.5% 8.2% 9.3% 7.8% 6.6%
Molly Hanrahan 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 7.3% 9.4% 10.6% 13.9% 22.4%
Caroline Sandoval 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 3.5% 4.7% 4.0% 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 11.6% 14.4% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.