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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.09vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.44+4.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+2.66vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.68+4.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+2.41vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.97+1.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.56vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.96vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.31-0.66vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.54-1.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.76-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-3.08vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.6010.7%1st Place
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6.55University of South Florida1.448.2%1st Place
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5.66Brown University1.5511.6%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University0.685.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University0.935.6%1st Place
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7.16Cornell University0.976.9%1st Place
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4.58College of Charleston1.8116.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Pennsylvania1.7212.2%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.086.8%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University0.313.5%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University0.542.9%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College0.764.8%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont-0.133.0%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University0.182.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.