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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+1.05vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.05+2.22vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.34-0.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.34+0.68vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.11-0.73vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-3.14vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.58-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Columbia University-0.1342.6%1st Place
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3.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.6012.4%1st Place
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5.22University of Delaware-2.056.4%1st Place
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3.89Rutgers University-1.3412.6%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Military Academy-2.343.8%1st Place
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5.27Syracuse University-2.116.1%1st Place
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3.86SUNY Stony Brook-1.3012.6%1st Place
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6.06Monmouth University-2.583.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 42.6% | 28.9% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 12.4% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| Andrew Martin | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Gus Hankinson | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 23.3% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| Sophia Dimont | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Julia Marich | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.