Race 3A

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
David Alfonso 8.6% 9.9% 11.6% 10.8% 9.7% 10.6% 8.3% 8.6% 7.7% 4.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Samuel Ingham 31.0% 25.6% 13.3% 11.5% 9.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 9.1% 9.6% 11.1% 8.6% 10.5% 10.8% 9.5% 7.3% 8.1% 6.4% 4.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 4.5% 3.7% 3.1% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 8.8% 9.7% 17.6% 19.4% 8.6%
Quentin Chafee 6.2% 6.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 8.3% 9.1% 8.0% 4.8% 3.2% 0.8%
William Hutchings 7.8% 8.5% 9.7% 11.0% 11.2% 8.1% 9.8% 9.0% 7.1% 6.8% 5.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Colin Santangelo 5.9% 8.2% 7.5% 9.1% 7.3% 8.9% 7.7% 9.5% 9.8% 9.2% 7.5% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8%
George Saunders 6.7% 7.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 8.7% 7.5% 8.4% 6.6% 3.2% 0.6%
Kyle Carney 8.0% 8.4% 9.2% 9.3% 12.0% 10.3% 9.6% 8.3% 8.2% 6.4% 4.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Juan Forrer 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 5.9% 9.8% 13.0% 26.4% 23.9%
John Vrolyk 4.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 6.7% 7.3% 6.8% 8.7% 8.3% 11.8% 11.1% 11.3% 7.7% 2.3%
Tommy Holmberg 3.4% 2.5% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% 6.6% 8.4% 9.6% 9.9% 11.5% 12.4% 10.6% 4.0%
Jeff Goodrich 5.5% 5.7% 7.2% 7.4% 6.5% 8.7% 9.8% 8.1% 9.5% 9.4% 9.4% 7.3% 4.4% 1.1%
John Fonte 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.9% 16.6% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.