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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.68+7.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.97+5.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.31+6.31vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.72+1.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+0.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+1.52vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.81-2.49vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-2.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.04vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.18-1.87vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Old Dominion University0.685.1%1st Place
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7.27Cornell University0.976.2%1st Place
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9.31Northeastern University0.313.3%1st Place
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5.33University of Pennsylvania1.7211.9%1st Place
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5.61Brown University1.5510.9%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University0.935.9%1st Place
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4.51College of Charleston1.8116.7%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College0.765.6%1st Place
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6.31University of South Florida1.448.3%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.609.1%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.087.2%1st Place
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10.13Salve Regina University0.183.3%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University0.543.5%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont-0.132.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Geith | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Emma Snead | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 21.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.