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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.26vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.97+5.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+2.61vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+0.45vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.44-0.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93-0.65vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.18+1.27vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.76-1.95vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.31-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.13-1.90vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.54-3.52vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.608.6%1st Place
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7.11Cornell University0.976.7%1st Place
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5.61Brown University1.5510.8%1st Place
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4.45College of Charleston1.8117.5%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.088.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Pennsylvania1.7210.7%1st Place
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6.36University of South Florida1.449.2%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University0.936.9%1st Place
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10.27Salve Regina University0.181.6%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College0.765.9%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University0.313.5%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont-0.132.9%1st Place
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9.48Fordham University0.542.6%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University0.685.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 23.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 21.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.5% |
| Megan Geith | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.