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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+4.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+2.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+3.53vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.44+0.44vs Predicted
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7Cornell University0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.13+2.07vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.31+0.32vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68-1.94vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.76-2.88vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.54-2.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-5.95vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Brown University1.5510.8%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston1.8116.5%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.609.3%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University0.935.7%1st Place
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5.41University of Pennsylvania1.7212.3%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida1.448.6%1st Place
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7.11Cornell University0.976.7%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont-0.132.5%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University0.313.6%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University0.685.3%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College0.764.7%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University0.543.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.087.6%1st Place
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9.92Salve Regina University0.183.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Mueller | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
Emma Tallman | 16.5% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Emma Snead | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
Haley Andreasen | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
Torrey Chisari | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
Lucija Ruzevic | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 22.6% |
Adeline Schoen | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% |
Megan Geith | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
Christine Reimer | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
Caroline Sandoval | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% |
Emily Scherer | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Molly Hanrahan | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.