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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.01vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+5.07vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.91+5.03vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.36vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+4.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.29vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+2.97vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+8.09vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45-0.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-5.20vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.00+3.50vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.64+0.45vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.63-4.95vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-2.42vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-9.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.74-4.42vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.13-6.75vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.49-5.43vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.21-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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9.47George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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17.09Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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9.79Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.8George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.5University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.45Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.58Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University2.130.0%1st Place
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13.57Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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17.57Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Watterson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 30.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 13.8% |
| Chris Myers | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Julia Paxton | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Ian Storck | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Fields | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 20.8% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.