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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.97+6.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.44+3.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+1.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68+3.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.72-0.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.54+2.34vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.81-3.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.76-0.72vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-3.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.31-1.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.18-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-3.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Cornell University0.977.0%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.6010.2%1st Place
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6.49University of South Florida1.447.7%1st Place
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5.64Brown University1.5510.3%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University0.685.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania1.7210.9%1st Place
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9.34Fordham University0.544.1%1st Place
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4.45College of Charleston1.8116.2%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College0.765.4%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.088.3%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University0.313.3%1st Place
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10.03Salve Regina University0.182.9%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont-0.132.9%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University0.935.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucija Ruzevic | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Emma Snead | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Geith | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 22.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.