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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.97+3.51vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+3.48vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+2.11vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.47+1.93vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22+1.85vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.97-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32-4.20vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73-1.34vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.45-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51College of Charleston1.9714.5%1st Place
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5.48North Carolina State University1.9910.8%1st Place
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5.11Florida State University1.9511.0%1st Place
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5.93Eckerd College1.477.3%1st Place
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6.85The Citadel1.225.9%1st Place
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4.9Jacksonville University1.9712.5%1st Place
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7.95University of South Carolina0.634.0%1st Place
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3.8University of Miami2.3218.0%1st Place
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7.66Florida Institute of Technology0.733.6%1st Place
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8.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.413.7%1st Place
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5.81University of South Florida1.458.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Anker | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
Scott Harris | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Sean Tallman | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
Gregory Walters | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% |
Charlotte Rose | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Ian Street | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 24.9% |
Atlee Kohl | 18.0% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Brendan Smucker | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
Roberto Martelli | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 28.1% |
Zachariah Schemel | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.