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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.00vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+5.10vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+2.80vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+5.78vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+6.71vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+0.88vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91-0.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.91vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-3.19vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.74+1.80vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.78vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.51-3.19vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.13-2.91vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.64-1.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.85vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.21+0.48vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-2.51vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.49-5.39vs Predicted
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20Columbia University0.40-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.1Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.8George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.78Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.33SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.7Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.8Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.22SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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9.81George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.09Old Dominion University2.130.0%1st Place
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13.01Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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17.48Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.49University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.61Queen's University1.490.0%1st Place
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17.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Fields | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Chris Myers | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Watterson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 22.3% | 38.1% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.8% |
| Andrew Faurschou | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.