← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Atlee Kohl 17.8% 17.3% 16.1% 13.0% 10.0% 8.6% 7.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Max Anker 13.6% 14.1% 14.4% 13.6% 12.6% 9.3% 7.2% 7.0% 4.3% 2.9% 1.1%
Scott Harris 9.2% 10.3% 11.0% 10.1% 10.4% 11.5% 10.2% 10.1% 8.7% 5.3% 3.2%
Brendan Smucker 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 5.9% 6.6% 8.8% 10.5% 13.1% 16.1% 18.8%
Charlotte Rose 14.1% 12.1% 10.5% 10.5% 11.2% 11.9% 10.3% 7.0% 6.4% 4.3% 1.6%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.2% 11.1% 11.0% 11.1% 9.8% 11.6% 10.2% 9.0% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2%
Ian Street 3.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.0% 6.0% 6.6% 7.5% 9.4% 11.6% 17.2% 25.2%
Gregory Walters 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 11.6% 13.7% 14.8% 11.6%
Sean Tallman 7.8% 9.8% 8.2% 9.7% 10.7% 10.2% 10.3% 10.1% 9.8% 8.7% 4.7%
Roberto Martelli 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 3.6% 5.5% 5.8% 7.8% 10.1% 12.0% 17.1% 26.8%
Zachariah Schemel 8.2% 8.0% 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 9.8% 11.7% 10.3% 10.2% 7.4% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.