Race 3A

saisa-coed-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlotte Rose 10.8% 11.5% 13.8% 12.4% 11.2% 11.5% 7.5% 8.6% 5.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8%
Scott Harris 8.9% 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 11.3% 10.4% 10.8% 9.8% 8.5% 6.2% 4.3% 1.2%
Max Anker 14.0% 13.8% 12.8% 12.7% 10.8% 10.0% 8.7% 6.6% 5.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Atlee Kohl 19.2% 15.2% 13.2% 14.0% 11.0% 8.1% 7.6% 5.5% 2.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Mateo Rodriguez 11.1% 11.7% 11.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.8% 9.9% 7.7% 7.1% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0%
Sean Tallman 8.4% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 11.6% 11.9% 10.6% 9.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.6%
Carolina Cassedy 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.7% 8.1% 9.5% 16.4% 40.2%
Gregory Walters 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.8% 7.2% 8.8% 9.8% 11.7% 12.2% 11.9% 7.6%
Ian Street 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 10.8% 14.1% 16.8% 14.3%
Brendan Smucker 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 6.9% 9.4% 11.3% 14.2% 15.2% 12.3%
Zachariah Schemel 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.6% 10.1% 10.2% 9.0% 7.6% 5.7% 1.5%
Roberto Martelli 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 4.2% 5.5% 5.1% 6.1% 8.0% 11.2% 13.6% 17.1% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.