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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.91+6.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.63vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.55+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54-0.13vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.55vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93-3.97vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.18-3.21vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-1.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92North Carolina State University0.912.6%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston2.2321.2%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida1.198.9%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University1.5512.1%1st Place
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4.87University of South Florida1.5411.2%1st Place
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7.55Florida Institute of Technology-0.293.6%1st Place
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4.76Florida State University1.6212.4%1st Place
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4.03University of Miami1.9315.1%1st Place
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5.79University of South Carolina1.187.9%1st Place
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8.54Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.6%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 21.2% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Matthew King | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 14.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 15.1% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 30.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.