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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.91+6.99vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.23+1.42vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-1.92vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.62-2.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.18-3.35vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.48vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99North Carolina State University0.913.1%1st Place
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3.42College of Charleston2.2320.6%1st Place
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4.89Jacksonville University1.5510.4%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida1.198.1%1st Place
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4.89University of South Florida1.5412.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Miami1.9315.3%1st Place
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4.7Florida State University1.6213.3%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.6%1st Place
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5.65University of South Carolina1.188.1%1st Place
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7.52Florida Institute of Technology-0.293.4%1st Place
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8.49Georgia Institute of Technology-0.083.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 18.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 20.6% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 15.3% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 20.9% | 30.5% |
| David Manley | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.