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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+5.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.55+3.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.91+5.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+5.16vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.62-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.18-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-1.99vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23-4.35vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93-5.83vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.08-1.80vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of South Florida1.197.7%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University1.5511.2%1st Place
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8.44North Carolina State University0.912.9%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.4%1st Place
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4.91Florida State University1.6212.7%1st Place
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5.97University of South Carolina1.187.3%1st Place
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5.01University of South Florida1.5411.8%1st Place
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3.65College of Charleston2.2319.8%1st Place
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7.82Florida Institute of Technology-0.294.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Miami1.9315.7%1st Place
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9.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.082.0%1st Place
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8.54Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Matthew King | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 27.4% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| David Manley | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Brandon Geller | 19.8% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 15.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 27.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.