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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-2.05+3.14vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.34+0.85vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-0.03vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.13-2.98vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58+0.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.34-1.31vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.11-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.9%1st Place
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5.14University of Delaware-2.056.2%1st Place
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3.85Rutgers University-1.3412.2%1st Place
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3.97SUNY Stony Brook-1.3011.5%1st Place
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2.02Columbia University-0.1345.1%1st Place
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6.04Monmouth University-2.584.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Military Academy-2.345.0%1st Place
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5.22Syracuse University-2.116.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Brendan van Riper | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| Andrew Martin | 12.2% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Sophia Dimont | 11.5% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Chase O'Malley | 45.1% | 27.1% | 15.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Marich | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 32.1% |
| Gus Hankinson | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 24.3% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.