Race 4A

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 32.7% 22.8% 13.7% 11.8% 8.0% 5.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 1.3% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 5.2% 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 8.4% 10.9% 17.1% 17.6% 8.4%
Nikolas Osvalds 8.8% 10.6% 10.4% 7.9% 10.5% 9.9% 9.9% 7.7% 9.2% 5.7% 5.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3%
George Saunders 5.0% 8.3% 7.5% 8.7% 6.6% 8.0% 11.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8%
David Alfonso 8.0% 9.3% 10.5% 11.3% 10.0% 8.7% 9.8% 8.1% 7.8% 6.8% 5.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Quentin Chafee 6.5% 6.4% 6.9% 8.9% 9.4% 8.3% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 6.9% 7.7% 5.8% 3.6% 0.5%
William Hutchings 10.0% 10.1% 11.2% 9.2% 10.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.8% 8.1% 5.1% 5.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4%
John Vrolyk 4.6% 4.1% 6.9% 5.3% 6.9% 5.4% 7.1% 10.0% 8.1% 10.4% 9.0% 11.1% 8.3% 2.8%
Kyle Carney 7.5% 8.2% 10.4% 10.6% 9.9% 10.0% 8.9% 10.9% 7.0% 7.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Colin Santangelo 5.6% 5.5% 6.1% 9.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 9.9% 9.8% 7.8% 7.1% 3.3% 1.1%
Tommy Holmberg 3.0% 4.0% 3.2% 4.3% 5.4% 7.5% 6.0% 6.8% 8.0% 10.4% 12.7% 13.2% 10.0% 5.5%
Juan Forrer 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 7.2% 8.9% 15.1% 26.3% 21.8%
Jeff Goodrich 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 7.4% 9.9% 8.7% 9.3% 8.4% 9.7% 9.5% 6.4% 4.8% 1.2%
John Fonte 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 4.4% 7.1% 17.8% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.