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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+3.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.58+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.04+2.07vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.02+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.57vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+2.10vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.66+2.73vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.53vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.07-1.26vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.17-5.73vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20+0.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.78-6.78vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.37vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.40-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Brown University1.3418.6%1st Place
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3.97Roger Williams University1.5817.9%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island1.0411.5%1st Place
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7.29Salve Regina University-0.025.2%1st Place
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8.57University of New Hampshire-0.003.3%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.093.8%1st Place
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9.73Fairfield University-0.662.2%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.581.8%1st Place
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7.74Yale University0.073.9%1st Place
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4.27Northeastern University1.1717.0%1st Place
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11.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.9%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University0.7810.2%1st Place
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11.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.6%1st Place
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8.75Bates College-0.403.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 18.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 17.9% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Palardy | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Dillon | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| James Sullivan | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Andrew White | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 26.9% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 37.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.