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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.78+4.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+2.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.17+1.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.07+3.64vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.58-1.06vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.66+3.87vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+2.47vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.41vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.02-1.63vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.04-6.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-3.82vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.40vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.40-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Tufts University0.789.8%1st Place
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4.12Brown University1.3417.7%1st Place
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4.38Northeastern University1.1715.5%1st Place
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7.64Yale University0.075.0%1st Place
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3.94Roger Williams University1.5817.6%1st Place
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9.87Fairfield University-0.662.5%1st Place
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9.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.1%1st Place
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8.41University of New Hampshire-0.003.7%1st Place
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7.37Salve Regina University-0.024.3%1st Place
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11.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.201.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island1.0411.8%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.093.5%1st Place
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11.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.2%1st Place
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8.81Bates College-0.404.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niall Sheridan | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 17.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| George Higham | 17.6% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| James Sullivan | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Gregory Dillon | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 26.6% |
| Ryan Palardy | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 36.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.