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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.71+9.52vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.45+5.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+1.79vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.25+1.10vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.20+7.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+3.54vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.40+1.21vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.79-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.87+4.67vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.51-2.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+1.62vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.48-4.13vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-5.69vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.01+2.23vs Predicted
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15Drexel University1.06-2.12vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-11.05vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81+0.96vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.31-0.95vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.63-8.20vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.79Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.1Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.39SUNY Maritime College1.200.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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7.62Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.31George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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16.23Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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12.88Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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17.96Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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17.05Columbia University-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.8Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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16.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Wilkinson | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Haggerty | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Spracher | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Oldroyd | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 14.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Elliott Morrill | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 43.1% |
| Josiah Hyatt | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 24.4% | 23.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mueller | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.